Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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1¢
Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $78,342.879·OI $171,382.216·Closes Apr 30, 2026
0x8fe8b0f19001c5d61f186edc1991347a60eda9c5bc096f5f144c13d6cd72de78
7-day price55 snapshots · 118 regime
49¢1¢ current
Apr 120¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 15¢-14¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.72IY 816.0%Close-time delta 5900h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:00:57 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8fe8b0f19001c5d61f186edc1991347a60eda9c5bc096f5f144c13d6cd72de78 yes 100

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