Will Mike Ruoho be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Mike Ruoho be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing August 11, 2026.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 1/7¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $7,070.766·Closes Aug 11, 2026·111d remaining
0x97df9f471e8f66727bd36b9d7411e586ffc83de434e03e4281f72ca407229397
7-day price824 snapshots · 1 regime
20¢4¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10622.8%
IY (No) 10.2%
Adj IY 5311%
CRI 32
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10622.8%
IY (No)10.2%
Adj IY5311%
CRI32
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:52:35 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x97df9f471e8f66727bd36b9d7411e586ffc83de434e03e4281f72ca407229397 yes 100

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