What is the current probability for "Will Caleb Downs be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 23, 2026.

Where can I trade "Will Caleb Downs be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Caleb Downs be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will Caleb Downs be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026.

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1¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $172.941·OI $2,984.274·Closes Apr 23, 2026

0x990ca0d31c1bdbef2473c507af4f2856bd5187313a07ebd58f1f828ae2b1bd5f

7-day price205 snapshots · 1 regime

4¢1¢ current

Apr 80¢Apr 22

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 12¢(Δ -11¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.75IY 3213.0%Close-time delta 1982h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:45:41 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x990ca0d31c1bdbef2473c507af4f2856bd5187313a07ebd58f1f828ae2b1bd5f yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →