What is the current probability for "Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-04-25?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 43¢ (43% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 25, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-04-25?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 18922.1% and 10768.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-04-25?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-04-25?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-04-25?. This contract trades at 43¢ on Polymarket, closing April 25, 2026.

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43¢

Bid/Ask 10/75¢·Spread 65¢·Vol $0·OI $211.259·Closes Apr 25, 2026·3d remaining

0x9d82b8fe6cee5a321402cb01de5eff6e45b65b15af9a435e09fe6ce51fec01e2

7-day price77 snapshots · 2 regime

43¢43¢ current

Apr 1937¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Club Guabirá wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 18922.1%

IY (No) 10768.5%

Adj IY 18922%

CRI 1

RV 634%

VR 0.44

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	18922.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10768.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	18922%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	634%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.44	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.2/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

65¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 10:42:59 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x9d82b8fe6cee5a321402cb01de5eff6e45b65b15af9a435e09fe6ce51fec01e2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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