Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing January 25, 2027. The Dallas Cowboys' NFC Championship contract is trading at an extremely depressed 4¢ with virtually no 24-hour volume despite $31.4M in open interest, suggesting this is a stale or illiquid position.
Analysis
The Dallas Cowboys' NFC Championship contract is trading at an extremely depressed 4¢ with virtually no 24-hour volume despite $31.4M in open interest, suggesting this is a stale or illiquid position. The astronomical 3,088% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the severe mispricing typical of low-liquidity long-shot markets, though the 284-day timeframe to resolution and 24-point Cliff Risk Index indicate meaningful execution risk remains. The recent price decline from 5¢ to 4¢ over seven days combined with the wide 3¢ spread suggests limited market confidence and potential difficulty exiting positions at fair value.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0x9e54e526688bba2a22c6092cb9f1cd3aa2727f190fcd4362837d1dc8e2865c7e yes 100