Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5

The Over 1.5 contract is pricing in an 81% probability of 2+ combined goals, but the extreme 26,139% implied yield on the No side suggests severe mispricing or illiquidity distortion—the $98.8k open interest with zero 24-hour volume indicates this market is essentially frozen. With only 6 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 1,126%, the 8¢ spread is deceptively wide relative to the stagnant price, and the 4/5 cliff risk index signals potential resolution uncertainty that may be driving the disconnect between the heavily favored Yes position and the theoretically lucrative No payout.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Liga MX game between Atlético San Luis and Club Santos Laguna, scheduled for April 22 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Atlético San Luis and Club Santos Laguna combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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