Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next?

This market shows extreme volatility (1723% realized vol) and a massive 69¢ spread typical of illiquid prediction markets, with only $65k in 24h volume against $118k open interest. The Yes side offers an outsized 203.6% implied yield, suggesting either genuine uncertainty about UFC matchmaking or insufficient liquidity to price the 36¢ level efficiently. The market has surged from 15¢ to 36¢ over seven days with high information arrival (1.0/hour), indicating recent news flow around Oliveira's next opponent, though the 319-day expiry provides ample time for matchmaking dynamics to shift.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Indicators

Regime

Trade