Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Prediction markets currently give a 60% probability that Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5. This contract trades at 60¢ on Polymarket, closing April 24, 2026. This market displays extreme yield anomalies with implied yields exceeding 4,300% on the Yes side and 10,700% on the No side, suggesting severe mispricing or illiquidity issues despite $867k in open interest.

████████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
60¢
Bid/Ask 58/62¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $1.613·OI $2,620.251·Closes Apr 24, 2026·1d remaining
0xb9e2673eb0743501d83dfd2f25c0de3f6e598656e7a3f3242b8412cd90073d55
7-day price4 snapshots · 3 regime
61¢60¢ current
Apr 2059¢Apr 22

Analysis

4d ago

This market displays extreme yield anomalies with implied yields exceeding 4,300% on the Yes side and 10,700% on the No side, suggesting severe mispricing or illiquidity issues despite $867k in open interest. The 9¢ spread is notably wide for a binary outcome, and zero 24-hour volume indicates the market may be inactive or experiencing settlement concerns. With only 5 days to expiry and a neutral regime score, traders should be cautious about the resolution mechanism (the description appears truncated) and verify actual game scheduling before entering positions.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club, scheduled for April 24 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 19389.1%
IY (No) 43625.5%
Adj IY 21813%
CRI 2
Overround 2.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)19389.1%
IY (No)43625.5%
Adj IY21813%
CRI2
Overround2.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 5:54:31 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 5:53:23 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb9e2673eb0743501d83dfd2f25c0de3f6e598656e7a3f3242b8412cd90073d55 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions