Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. Nashville SC's 2026 MLS Cup odds sit at an extremely low 5¢, implying a 2318% annualized yield for YES holders—an exceptionally high return reflecting the long-shot nature of this bet with 247 days to expiry.
Analysis
Nashville SC's 2026 MLS Cup odds sit at an extremely low 5¢, implying a 2318% annualized yield for YES holders—an exceptionally high return reflecting the long-shot nature of this bet with 247 days to expiry. The market shows modest liquidity with $26.3K open interest and $3.5K daily volume, though the zero spread suggests reasonable depth at current price levels. The 25% price appreciation over seven days (4¢ to 5¢) combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 16 warrants caution, as this could indicate either emerging optimism about Nashville's prospects or thin liquidity amplifying small trades.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade
sf trade 0xbdb8bebb7a28a35d1a3f87d1340404b664c9bd5d32127ff71664a44ddde5da6b yes 100