Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)

This binary sports market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $147,939 open interest, suggesting the positions are stale or locked in. The 14¢ price has declined sharply from 21¢ over seven days, implying declining confidence in Al Fateh's -2.5 spread victory, yet the astronomical 42,169% implied yield on the Yes side indicates the market is pricing in near-zero probability for a 3+ goal win. With only 5 days to expiration and a wide 19¢ bid-ask spread, this appears to be a dead or illiquid market where the price may not reflect true probability.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 24 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Fateh Saudi Club" if Al Fateh Saudi Club win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Khaleej Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade