Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)

This market has experienced extreme price collapse, dropping 82% over 7 days from 37¢ to 7¢, suggesting strong conviction that Santos Laguna will not win by 3+ goals—a historically rare scoreline in Liga MX. The 81,900% implied yield on "Yes" reflects the extraordinarily low probability priced in, but with only $11.16 in 24-hour volume and a 6¢ spread on just $73k open interest, liquidity is dangerously thin and the market may struggle to resolve cleanly. With 6 days to expiry and the game scheduled for April 22, the cliff risk index of 13 combined with 7,856% realized volatility indicates this is an unstable, low-liquidity tail bet rather than a reliable prediction vehicle.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Santos Laguna" if Club Santos Laguna win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Atlético San Luis". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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