Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

With only 40 days until resolution and the 2025-26 EPL season already underway, Haaland is priced at 77¢ reflecting his strong early-season performance, though the extreme 3061% implied yield on "No" signals severe illiquidity and suggests the market may be mispricing tail risk scenarios like injury or a late-season scoring drought. The tight 3¢ spread and modest $1.2M daily volume relative to $4.5M open interest indicate thin liquidity that could amplify price swings if new information emerges, particularly given the 193% realized volatility and 1.0 info arrivals per hour tracking ongoing match results.

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025-26 EPL season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in Premier League matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., FA Cup, Carabao Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade