Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 53% probability that Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 53¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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sf trade 0x94bd77816ca1db14619250cea28604afcb64942d5b4f7d3780b40bc0fd95944a yes 100