Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
Prediction markets currently give a 62% probability that Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score. This contract trades at 62¢ on Polymarket, closing April 24, 2026. This both-teams-to-score market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $260.6K open interest and a massive 34¢ spread, suggesting the 60¢ price may not reflect true consensus.
Analysis
This both-teams-to-score market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $260.6K open interest and a massive 34¢ spread, suggesting the 60¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical implied yields (4576% for Yes, 10297% for No) and 2103% realized volatility indicate severe pricing dysfunction rather than genuine market conviction, likely driven by the 5-day expiration window and sparse trading activity. With only 1.8 information arrivals per hour and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this appears to be a stale, low-conviction market where the price discovery mechanism has largely broken down.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club, scheduled for April 24 at 11:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xde1313848229799cbe50bd2d34ed4adc91c6008a5dcafb0fb57f238d42849a3d yes 100