Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score

Prediction markets currently give a 59% probability that Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score. This contract trades at 59¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. The market has experienced extreme volatility with realized volatility at 998% and a dramatic 58% price surge over seven days (38¢ to 60¢), yet shows zero 24-hour volume despite $118k open interest, suggesting the recent move may lack conviction or liquidity.

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59¢
Bid/Ask 58/60¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $24,446.639·Closes Apr 23, 2026·0d remaining
0xe2b33fa8bb2c17298c2f766b54a0bb82fa827dc97c6bd1d57f2677351493dada
7-day price191 snapshots · 6 regime
70¢59¢ current
Apr 1438¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

The market has experienced extreme volatility with realized volatility at 998% and a dramatic 58% price surge over seven days (38¢ to 60¢), yet shows zero 24-hour volume despite $118k open interest, suggesting the recent move may lack conviction or liquidity. The astronomical implied yields (4088% for Yes, 9197% for No) are artifacts of the tight 8¢ spread and imminent 6-day expiry, indicating this is a highly illiquid micro-market where small trades create outsized percentage returns. With a Cliff Risk Index of 2 and info arrival rate of 1.7 events per hour, the market appears to be pricing in significant uncertainty ahead of the April 22 match, though the lack of recent trading activity raises questions about whether the 60¢ price reflects genuine consensus or stale positioning.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Liga MX game between Atlético San Luis and Club Santos Laguna, scheduled for April 22 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Atlético San Luis and Club Santos Laguna each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Adj IY 17000%
CRI 1
RV 115%
VR 0.05
IAR 0.6/h
Overround 2.2%
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
Adj IY17000%
CRI1
RV115%
VR0.05
IAR0.6/h
Overround2.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:55:12 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:24 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xe2b33fa8bb2c17298c2f766b54a0bb82fa827dc97c6bd1d57f2677351493dada yes 100

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