Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing March 24, 2026.

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5¢

Bid/Ask 4/5¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $11,392.26·OI $22,736.214·Closes Mar 24, 2026

0xf2f0cf8b7aa90c53fbd56439782d1828a2315c8d21890f4a2804a61720985cea

7-day price49 snapshots

11¢5¢ current

Apr 83¢Apr 21

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 7¢(Δ -2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.76IY 1440.3%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:45:55 PM

Observability mediumEvent type political

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xf2f0cf8b7aa90c53fbd56439782d1828a2315c8d21890f4a2804a61720985cea yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →