What is the current probability for "Canva IPO before 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 16¢ (16% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on December 31, 2026. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Canva IPO before 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 780.7% and 28.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Canva IPO before 2027?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Canva IPO before 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Canva IPO before 2027?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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16¢

Bid/Ask 15/16¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $554.04·OI $3,289.764·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining

0xfbf56eba19e9b5b07f46c08af3ac75e72556e4ce47e24267eba9ad114d966e48

7-day price174 snapshots · 39 regime

50¢16¢ current

Apr 815¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 780.7%

IY (No) 28.3%

Adj IY 390%

CRI 5

Overround 6.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	780.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	28.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	390%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 1:19:12 PM

Observability mediumEvent type financial

Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 1:08:26 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xfbf56eba19e9b5b07f46c08af3ac75e72556e4ce47e24267eba9ad114d966e48 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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