What is the current probability for "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 11¢ (11% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 23, 2027. 396 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1442.9% and 5.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Romance Anime?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Kalshi, closing May 23, 2027.

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11¢

Bid/Ask 6/15¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $40·OI $84.31·Closes May 23, 2027·396d remaining

KXANIMEBR-26-DAN

7-day price41 snapshots · 6 regime

6¢6¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If DAN DA DAN Season 2 has won Best Romance Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1442.9%

IY (No) 5.9%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 16

RV 2749%

VR 5.49

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1442.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	5.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	16	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2749%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	5.49	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	1.50	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:42:29 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXANIMEBR-26-DAN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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