What is the current probability for "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Continuing Series?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 47¢ (47% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 23, 2027. 396 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Continuing Series?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 150.3% and 56.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Continuing Series?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Continuing Series?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 47% probability that 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Continuing Series?. This contract trades at 47¢ on Kalshi, closing May 23, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $333.33 open interest, making the 55¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.

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47¢

Bid/Ask 37/78¢·Spread 41¢·Vol $10.25·OI $393.58·Closes May 23, 2027·396d remaining

KXANIMEBCS-26-ONE

7-day price65 snapshots · 2 regime

48¢38¢ current

Apr 836¢Apr 22

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $333.33 open interest, making the 55¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 115.7% implied yield on the Yes side is notably inflated—typical of thin markets—while the 8¢ spread represents a 14.5% bid-ask gap that further signals low confidence in price discovery. With 402 days to expiry and One Piece's historical dominance in anime awards, the modest recent price movement (40¢ to 44¢ over 7 days) suggests limited conviction from the few participants active here.

Resolution rules

If ONE PIECE has won Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 150.3%

IY (No) 56.4%

Adj IY 75%

CRI 2

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	150.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	56.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	75%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

41¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:41:37 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXANIMEBCS-26-ONE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →