Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Adrian Mannarino win set 2 in the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino match"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 22¢ (22% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 14 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Adrian Mannarino win set 2 in the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino match"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 18546.7% and 344.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Adrian Mannarino win set 2 in the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino match"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	18546.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	344.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9273%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	7	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Will Adrian Mannarino win set 2 in the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino match

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts