Will the Central Bank of Brazil Cut 50 basis points at the April Monetary Policy Meeting?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will the Central Bank of Brazil Cut 50 basis points at the April Monetary Policy Meeting?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 5/6¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $480.1·OI $4,393.09·Closes May 6, 2026·8d remaining
KXCBDECISIONBRAZIL-26APR29-C50
7-day price383 snapshots · 33 regime
33¢5¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut 50 basis points at April Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 83918.2%
IY (No) 232.5%
Adj IY 33567%
CRI 19
LAS 0.20
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)83918.2%
IY (No)232.5%
Adj IY33567%
CRI19
LAS0.20

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/28/2026, 3:20:36 PM
Observability highEvent type data_release
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 3:08:35 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXCBDECISIONBRAZIL-26APR29-C50 yes 100

Related concepts

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