SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$86K volume
$29K liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$63.7M

Best sibling

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Elon Musk 1¢

Ticker

KXCOMPANYSTAKERYANAIR-27JAN01

Price history

10¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 10¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
7¢135
6¢397
5¢572
4¢1.1K
3¢100
AskSize
10¢503
11¢1.0K
13¢500
14¢178
19¢277

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX has taken a stake of above 0% in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXCOMPANYSTAKERYANAIR-27JAN01

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Event family

Tech / IPO.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$63.7M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

SpaceX 94¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Yes

kalshi · KXCOMPANYSTAKERYANAIR-27JAN01

7¢$0$0

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Elon Musk

polymarket · 0xfbb80ea5f8fc02ee7df8bd4f58790e1d04b874078a49a7b7028a74a2075100c9

1¢$27.2M$53K

Presidential Election Winner 2028: Elon Musk

polymarket · 0x68e3c4e0dd8f82d010060032006fd157401b0bd8e04bd2953ae293e31eb99bf6

1¢$23.5M$19K

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair

polymarket · 0xb740ce80109379eff6b906889bcc5e8e801c221a11a52dbad6e7f965a825bc78

1¢$3.3M$2K

Tesla

polymarket · 0xf1ed2e6df582b055e94b3ff00b9dce996af9f04c5cc67e9a6fbfef487169c0e7

0¢$1.6M$64K

$SEX

polymarket · 0xafb67293d7e12d87cf4ba22e4eb89f1eea353b11c6febaf6b9832213c4529367

2¢$1.4M$741

NVIDIA

polymarket · 0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95

75¢$1.1M$14K0.0

$STAR

polymarket · 0x0d8880457a80d5216bc5359f7de1e99a83adff0f0e39616cfa57dec28033a077

0¢$852K$2K

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap: 2.5T-3.0T

polymarket · 0xe51f231db21003948460569107975a20ed138b642b2952c4f0798da8c64d8591

13¢$812K$90.0

$SPACE

polymarket · 0xfe6827bd1917f702f1858bec56fc431753cce59b92e93cdba8a60fd1730d5b02

1¢$633K$0

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Elon Musk

polymarket · 0x97115010af13666600dc8776dce48290f5c4c23d387a86a97f6b4b38561dd5af

0¢$606K$9K

$SPC

polymarket · 0x95ec4d4bd3a7eef1232d4c2fbcd95d8fbe77a16d382615941fcdd9e30e3b7e3f

0¢$581K$0

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes): 1T+

polymarket · 0xdafaa73301e394d19a14c3f1b220d3e27eee7cc042fe4e694c102ba9292ec49e

92¢$576K$2K0.0

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes): No IPO before 2028

polymarket · 0xa53fdef6047fbcdd3bf305ad19851a3bcf28eda72bdd31039f45cb8fa379f747

4¢$574K$4K0.0

$X

polymarket · 0xb2f7dc9439fde732c0586302b1be0d46bc41a917e5338b8924b3557be944dcef

33¢$558K$149

SpaceX

polymarket · 0xc8a898fa8ce2121e3bba1ee52120ed8ab4f8ea7ed5a6dcd9b138fe7b9e454c0b

94¢$545K$2K0.0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1999.4%
11.3%
Adj IY
1000%
13

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