What is the current probability for "Nashville vs Tigres Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 61¢ (61% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 19 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Nashville vs Tigres Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 6816.7% and 542.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Nashville vs Tigres Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Nashville vs Tigres Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 61% probability that Nashville vs Tigres Winner?. This contract trades at 61¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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61¢

Bid/Ask 22/61¢·Spread 39¢·Vol $8.26·OI $23.26·Closes May 13, 2026·19d remaining

KXCONCACAFCCUPGAME-26APR28NSHTIG-NSH

7-day price31 snapshots · 4 regime

30¢22¢ current

Apr 224¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

If Nashville wins the Nashville vs Tigres professional CONCACAF Champions Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6816.7%

IY (No) 542.3%

Adj IY 6817%

CRI 4

RV 1423%

VR 1.60

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	6816.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	542.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6817%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1423%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.60	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

39¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 1:04:10 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 12:53:12 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONCACAFCCUPGAME-26APR28NSHTIG-NSH yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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