What is the current probability for "Kevin Durant: 2+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 9, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Kevin Durant: 2+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.3% and 11926.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Kevin Durant: 2+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Kevin Durant: 2+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Kevin Durant: 2+ rebounds. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026.

██████████████████████████████████░░░░░░

85¢

Bid/Ask 81/97¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $0·OI $20·Closes May 9, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR24LALHOU-HOUKDURANT7-2

7-day price16 snapshots · 6 regime

91¢82¢ current

Apr 233¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Kevin Durant records 2+ Rebounds in the Lakers at Rockets professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.3%

IY (No) 11926.5%

Adj IY 9771%

CRI 5

RV 55609%

VR 17.44

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11926.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9771%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	55609%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	17.44	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	13.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.18	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/24/2026, 1:22:31 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 1:23:14 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR24LALHOU-HOUKDURANT7-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →