Will Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing November 7, 2028. This market is essentially dead with zero volume and open interest, making the 938.9% implied yield on the Yes side meaningless—it reflects only the 1¢ minimum spread rather than genuine pricing.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with zero volume and open interest, making the 938.9% implied yield on the Yes side meaningless—it reflects only the 1¢ minimum spread rather than genuine pricing. The scenario itself is extremely unlikely given that Ossoff is a first-term senator and AOC doesn't meet the constitutional age requirement (35) until October 2029, after the election, making this technically impossible under current law. The 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests significant model uncertainty, and with 933 days to expiry, this appears to be a novelty or test market with no real liquidity for trading.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXDTICKET-28NOV07-JOSSAOC yes 100