What is the current probability for "What will Alphabet Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 45¢ (45% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on September 30, 2026. 156 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "What will Alphabet Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 286.1% and 191.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "What will Alphabet Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

What will Alphabet Inc. say during their next earnings call?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that What will Alphabet Inc. say during their next earnings call?. This contract trades at 45¢ on Kalshi, closing September 30, 2026.

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45¢

Bid/Ask 45/55¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $41·OI $370.83·Closes Sep 30, 2026·156d remaining

KXEARNINGSMENTIONGOOGL-26APR29-HEAD

7-day price196 snapshots · 5 regime

52¢45¢ current

Apr 1735¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Headwind is said by any Alphabet Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alphabet Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 286.1%

IY (No) 191.5%

Adj IY 222%

CRI 1

RV 465%

VR 2.87

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	286.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	191.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	222%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	465%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.87	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	7.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.22	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 3:23:07 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 3:08:54 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXEARNINGSMENTIONGOOGL-26APR29-HEAD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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