What is the current probability for "What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 66¢ (66% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on September 30, 2026. 156 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 137.2% and 397.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call?

Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. say during their next earnings call?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi, closing September 30, 2026.

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66¢

Bid/Ask 63/66¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $1.47·OI $1,072.12·Closes Sep 30, 2026·156d remaining

KXEARNINGSMENTIONHOOD-26APR28-TRUM

7-day price147 snapshots · 6 regime

79¢63¢ current

Apr 1715¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Trump is said by any Robinhood Markets, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Robinhood Markets, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 137.2%

IY (No) 397.9%

Adj IY 398%

CRI 2

RV 442%

VR 3.63

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	137.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	397.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	398%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	442%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.63	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.2/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	7.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.568

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 9:14:20 AM

Observability highEvent type financial

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 9:08:21 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXEARNINGSMENTIONHOOD-26APR28-TRUM yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

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