Will Spain GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 be above -0%?

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93¢mid
Bid/Ask 88/98¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 30, 2026·10d remaining
KXESGDPQOQF-26APR30-T-0

Analysis

2h ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 497.5% implied yield on the Yes side. The 10-cent spread and incomplete resolution criteria (text cuts off at "-0") suggest potential technical issues with the market listing. With only 10 days to expiry and a high Cliff Risk Index of 7, any late-arriving information about Spain's Q1 2026 GDP could create sharp repricing, though the zero liquidity means actual trading may be impossible.

Resolution rules

If Spain GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q1 2026 is above -0 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 502.8%
IY (No) 27037.0%
Adj IY 11983%
CRI 7
Overround 5.0%
LAS 0.11
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)502.8%
IY (No)27037.0%
Adj IY11983%
CRI7
Overround5.0%
LAS0.11

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/20/2026, 9:24:11 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/20/2026, 9:23:40 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXESGDPQOQF-26APR30-T-0 yes 100

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