What is the current probability for "Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 9¢ (9% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on November 3, 2026.

Where can I trade "Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026.

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9¢

Bid/Ask 1/8¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $752·Closes Nov 3, 2026

KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU

7-day price6 snapshots

2¢1¢ current

Apr 151¢Apr 16

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 9¢(Δ 0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 3128.3%Close-time delta 1863h

Resolution rules

If Adam Crum advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

7¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 12:52:31 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →