Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.66 on Apr 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.66 on Apr 30?. This contract trades at 29¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $17 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 29¢ price potentially unreliable despite the massive 7859% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $17 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 29¢ price potentially unreliable despite the massive 7859% implied yield on the Yes side. The 71¢ spread is extraordinarily wide relative to the contract value, suggesting significant uncertainty and minimal market depth for execution. With 12 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market appears abandoned rather than efficiently priced, making it unsuitable for serious trading despite the headline yield figures.
Resolution rules
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.66 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.660 yes 100