Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.7 on Apr 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 82% probability that Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.7 on Apr 30?. This contract trades at 82¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 99¢ spread despite an 82% Yes price, suggesting the quoted price may not reflect true market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 99¢ spread despite an 82% Yes price, suggesting the quoted price may not reflect true market consensus. The implied yield on the No side reaches an extraordinary 14,170%, indicating severe mispricing or that traders are heavily discounting a tail-risk scenario where H200 pricing collapses below $2.7. The dramatic 64¢ price surge over seven days combined with minimal open interest ($221.94) and a Cliff Risk Index of 5 suggests this market could experience sharp reversals as resolution approaches in just 12 days.
Resolution rules
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.7 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.700 yes 100