SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 27, 2027542 days left

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$955 volume
$955 liquidity
350% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$273

Best sibling

Naftali Bennett 40¢

Ticker

KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ALIE

Price history

16¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 15¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
8¢42
7¢500
3¢15
2¢242
AskSize
15¢5
16¢500
96¢200
97¢5.0K
99¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Avigdor Lieberman becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 27, 2027

Identifier

KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ALIE

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at , +10¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXISRAELPM-26OCT27.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$273

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Naftali Bennett 40¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

774.6%

IY (No)

5.9%

Adj IY

387%

CRI

12

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

774.6%
5.9%
Adj IY
387%
12
Overround
0.1%

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