Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 7¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$273
Best sibling
Naftali Bennett 40¢
Ticker
KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ALIE
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Orderbook snapshot
8 / 15¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Avigdor Lieberman becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 27, 2027
Identifier
KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ALIE
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 6¢, +10¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXISRAELPM-26OCT27.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$273
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Naftali Bennett 40¢
Current share
0%
Avigdor Lieberman
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ALIE
Naftali Bennett
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-NBEN
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BNET
Gadi Eizenkot
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GEIZ
Yair Lapid
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YLAP
Gideon Sa'ar
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GSAA
Yuli Edelstein
kalshi · KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YEDE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.477
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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