What is the current probability for "Santos Laguna at San Luis: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 61¢ (61% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Santos Laguna at San Luis: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1655.0% and 3723.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Santos Laguna at San Luis: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Santos Laguna at San Luis: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 61% probability that Santos Laguna at San Luis: Totals. This contract trades at 61¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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61¢mid

Bid/Ask 60/61¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining

KXLIGAMXTOTAL-26APR22ASLSLA-2

7-day price10 snapshots · 2 regime

60¢60¢ current

Apr 2156¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Santos Laguna and San Luis collectively score more than 2.5 total goals in the San Luis vs Santos Laguna professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1655.0%

IY (No) 3723.7%

Adj IY 3724%

CRI 2

RV 3300%

VR 7.57

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1655.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3723.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3724%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3300%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	7.57	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 8:19:04 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLIGAMXTOTAL-26APR22ASLSLA-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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