Will Anyone's Legend win the Anyone's Legend vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match?
Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Will Anyone's Legend win the Anyone's Legend vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market displays extreme yield asymmetry with the No side offering 3530% annualized return versus 1443% for Yes, suggesting significant mispricing or structural distortion typical of low-liquidity esports contracts.
Analysis
This market displays extreme yield asymmetry with the No side offering 3530% annualized return versus 1443% for Yes, suggesting significant mispricing or structural distortion typical of low-liquidity esports contracts. The $42.98 open interest paired with a 4¢ spread indicates minimal liquidity despite the 64¢ price, and the realized volatility of 1461% combined with a Vol Ratio of 3.91 signals substantial uncertainty that may not be fully reflected in the current pricing. With 16 days to resolution and an information arrival rate of 3.3 events per hour, the market remains highly sensitive to team news or match updates, though the neutral regime and modest 7-day price movement (62¢ to 61¢) suggest relative stability in sentiment.
Resolution rules
If Anyone's Legend wins the LPL 2026: Anyone's Legend vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXLOLGAME-26APR220700ALNIP-AL yes 100