Will Bilibili Gaming win the Bilibili Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match?

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84¢mid
Bid/Ask 80/87¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·17d remaining
KXLOLGAME-26APR230700BLGNIP-BLG
7-day price6 snapshots · 7 regime
81¢80¢ current
Apr 2077¢Apr 20

Analysis

7h ago

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 7¢ spread and an extraordinary 4477% risk-adjusted implied yield, suggesting the 0¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus. The market has moved 4 percentage points upward over seven days and carries a high cliff risk index of 4, indicating potential for sharp repricing as the May 7, 2026 expiration approaches in 17 days. The astronomical yield figures and near-zero pricing warrant caution, as this likely reflects a thin or inactive market rather than genuine conviction that Bilibili Gaming has virtually no chance against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

Resolution rules

If Bilibili Gaming wins the LPL 2026: Bilibili Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 534.7%
IY (No) 8554.5%
Adj IY 3956%
CRI 4
LAS 0.07
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)534.7%
IY (No)8554.5%
Adj IY3956%
CRI4
LAS0.07

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/20/2026, 9:24:11 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/20/2026, 9:23:40 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLOLGAME-26APR230700BLGNIP-BLG yes 100

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