What is the current probability for "St. Louis vs Miami Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 46¢ (46% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 25, 2026. 3 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "St. Louis vs Miami Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 13336.7% and 8927.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "St. Louis vs Miami Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

St. Louis vs Miami Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that St. Louis vs Miami Winner?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Kalshi, closing April 25, 2026.

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46¢

Bid/Ask 45/46¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $95,344.44·OI $96,313.74·Closes Apr 25, 2026·3d remaining

KXMLBGAME-26APR221210STLMIA-STL

7-day price81 snapshots · 11 regime

50¢45¢ current

Apr 1917¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If St. Louis wins the St. Louis vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 12:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 13336.7%

IY (No) 8927.8%

Adj IY 9998%

CRI 1

RV 258%

VR 0.23

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	13336.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8927.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	9998%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	258%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.23	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 7:58:47 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 7:53:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLBGAME-26APR221210STLMIA-STL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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