What is the current probability for "Josh Hart: 5+ assists"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 24, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Josh Hart: 5+ assists"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 81.1% and 84776.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Josh Hart: 5+ assists"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Josh Hart: 5+ assists

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Josh Hart: 5+ assists. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $4,826.3·OI $4,118.43·Closes Apr 24, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAAST-26APR23NYKATL-NYKJHART3-5

7-day price63 snapshots · 4 regime

97¢97¢ current

Apr 212¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Josh Hart records 5+ Assists in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 81.1%

IY (No) 84776.0%

Adj IY 82156%

CRI 32

RV 57697%

VR 26.68

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	81.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	84776.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	82156%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	57697%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	26.68	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	5.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 1:21:49 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 12:53:12 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAAST-26APR23NYKATL-NYKJHART3-5 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →