Who will be picked second in the Pro Men's Basketball Draft?

Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Who will be picked second in the Pro Men's Basketball Draft?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing July 14, 2026. This illiquid micro-market on Cameron Boozer being the second overall pick shows an extraordinarily high implied yield of 1116% on the Yes side, reflecting the extremely low 27¢ price and minimal $437 open interest with just $12 in daily volume.

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28¢
Bid/Ask 21/28¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $36·OI $476.4·Closes Jul 14, 2026·84d remaining
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-2-CBOO

Analysis

4d ago

This illiquid micro-market on Cameron Boozer being the second overall pick shows an extraordinarily high implied yield of 1116% on the Yes side, reflecting the extremely low 27¢ price and minimal $437 open interest with just $12 in daily volume. The flat 7-day price action and tight 1¢ spread suggest limited trading activity and potential difficulty exiting positions, though the neutral regime score indicates no obvious directional pressure. With 88 days to the June 2026 draft and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal liquidity that could face slippage on larger trades.

Resolution rules

If Cameron Boozer is selected as the second overall pick in the 2026 Pro Men's Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1641.1%
IY (No) 116.0%
Adj IY 821%
CRI 4
Overround 0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1641.1%
IY (No)116.0%
Adj IY821%
CRI4
Overround0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:56:35 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-2-CBOO yes 100

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