What is the current probability for "Ayo Dosunmu: 15+ points"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 82¢ (82% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Ayo Dosunmu: 15+ points"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 497.9% and 13723.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Ayo Dosunmu: 15+ points"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Ayo Dosunmu: 15+ points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 82% probability that Ayo Dosunmu: 15+ points. This contract trades at 82¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

█████████████████████████████████░░░░░░░

82¢

Bid/Ask 79/91¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $4,947.41·OI $4,706.48·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBAPTS-26APR27MINDEN-MINADOSUNMU13-15

7-day price96 snapshots · 10 regime

84¢84¢ current

Apr 261¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Ayo Dosunmu records 15+ Points in the Minnesota vs Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 497.9%

IY (No) 13723.8%

Adj IY 5473%

CRI 5

Overround 8.0%

LAS 0.20

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	497.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13723.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5473%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	8.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.20	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

12¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 3:24:41 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 3:23:53 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAPTS-26APR27MINDEN-MINADOSUNMU13-15 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →