What is the current probability for "Aaron Gordon: 6+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 58¢ (58% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Aaron Gordon: 6+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1816.7% and 2942.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Aaron Gordon: 6+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Aaron Gordon: 6+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 58% probability that Aaron Gordon: 6+ rebounds. This contract trades at 58¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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58¢mid

Bid/Ask 56/60¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-DENAGORDON32-6

7-day price83 snapshots · 3 regime

58¢56¢ current

Apr 2145¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If Aaron Gordon records 6+ Rebounds in the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1816.7%

IY (No) 2942.8%

Adj IY 2943%

CRI 1

RV 1354%

VR 2.81

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1816.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2942.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2943%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1354%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.81	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	4.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	14.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:44:41 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23DENMIN-DENAGORDON32-6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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