What is the current probability for "Mikal Bridges: 4+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 41¢ (41% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Mikal Bridges: 4+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 3640.5% and 1488.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Mikal Bridges: 4+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Mikal Bridges: 4+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 41% probability that Mikal Bridges: 4+ rebounds. This contract trades at 41¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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41¢mid

Bid/Ask 39/43¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-NYKMBRIDGES25-4

7-day price23 snapshots · 3 regime

39¢39¢ current

Apr 2126¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Mikal Bridges records 4+ Rebounds in the New York at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3640.5%

IY (No) 1488.1%

Adj IY 3640%

CRI 2

RV 2357%

VR 3.54

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3640.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1488.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3640%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2357%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.54	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.1/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	20.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 6:48:50 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR23NYKATL-NYKMBRIDGES25-4 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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