What is the current probability for "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 498.3% and 11877.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+ rebounds. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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85¢mid

Bid/Ask 83/86¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 13, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBAREB-26APR28ATLNYK-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7-2

7-day price15 snapshots · 1 regime

83¢83¢ current

Apr 261¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Nickeil Alexander-Walker records 2+ Rebounds in the Atlanta at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.3%

IY (No) 11877.2%

Adj IY 11877%

CRI 5

RV 54785%

VR 8.60

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	498.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11877.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11877%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	54785%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.60	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.3/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	20.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 11:55:01 PM

Indicators computed 4/27/2026, 11:53:54 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBAREB-26APR28ATLNYK-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →