What is the current probability for "Game 5: Minnesota at Denver: Total Points"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 69¢ (69% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Game 5: Minnesota at Denver: Total Points"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.1% and 13755.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Game 5: Minnesota at Denver: Total Points"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Game 5: Minnesota at Denver: Total Points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 69% probability that Game 5: Minnesota at Denver: Total Points. This contract trades at 69¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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69¢

Bid/Ask 67/69¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $27,664.09·OI $15,444.31·Closes May 12, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBATOTAL-26APR27MINDEN-214

7-day price45 snapshots · 17 regime

89¢83¢ current

Apr 2645¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If the teams in the Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026 collectively score more than 214.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.1%

IY (No) 13755.3%

Adj IY 13592%

CRI 5

RV 715%

VR 2.23

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13755.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13592%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	715%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	2.23	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	5.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.01	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 4:12:11 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 4:08:54 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBATOTAL-26APR27MINDEN-214 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →