Will East Carolina win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 73% probability that Will East Carolina win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?. This contract trades at 73¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. This market is severely illiquid with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 34¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 34¢ price potentially unreliable. The extreme 1410.8% implied yield on the Yes side and 47¢ spread suggest minimal trading activity has established these levels, and the recent price decline from 10¢ to 9¢ may reflect stale data rather than meaningful market movement. With 262 days until expiry and a high cliff risk index of 10, this contract carries substantial execution risk and should be approached cautiously given the illiquidity constraints.
Resolution rules
If East Carolina wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFAAC-26-ECU yes 100