Will Navy win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will Navy win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with only $5 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with only $5 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12¢ price potentially unreliable. The massive 1023% implied yield on the Yes side and 37¢ spread suggest severe pricing inefficiency, likely driven by the minimal liquidity rather than genuine market conviction about Navy's AAC championship odds. With 262 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 7, this market carries substantial execution risk and should be approached with caution by all but the most sophisticated traders.
Resolution rules
If Navy wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFAAC-26-NAVY yes 100