Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 53% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 53¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market shows minimal liquidity with only $157 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making it difficult to execute meaningful positions despite the attractive 152% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows minimal liquidity with only $157 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making it difficult to execute meaningful positions despite the attractive 152% implied yield on the Yes side. The price has recovered 6 cents over the past week (from 40¢ to 46¢), suggesting some recent buyer interest in the New York Giants hitting 5+ primetime slots, though the 6-cent spread indicates thin order books. With nearly 282 days until expiry and a neutral regime, the market appears fairly valued at 50-50 odds, but traders should expect wide slippage on any substantial order.
Resolution rules
If New York G plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-NYG yes 100