Game 2: Los Angeles at Colorado Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 71% probability that Game 2: Los Angeles at Colorado Winner?. This contract trades at 71¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with a massive 4,553% implied yield on the No side despite Colorado being priced at only 70%, suggesting severe undervaluation of Los Angeles' chances or a liquidity crunch driving the distortion.
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with a massive 4,553% implied yield on the No side despite Colorado being priced at only 70%, suggesting severe undervaluation of Los Angeles' chances or a liquidity crunch driving the distortion. The realized volatility of 3,190% and realized 4.94x vol ratio indicate this contract has experienced wild swings—notably jumping 56¢ over seven days—while the thin $951 daily volume and $921 open interest confirm low liquidity is likely amplifying the yield anomaly. With 16 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, the market remains relatively stable, but the extreme No-side yield presents a potential arbitrage opportunity if liquidity can absorb positions.
Resolution rules
If COL Avalanche wins the Game 2: Los Angeles at Colorado professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR21LACOL-COL yes 100