Game 4: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Game 4: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia Winner?. This contract trades at 43¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market exhibits extreme distress signals with an implied yield of 2235% and realized volatility of 2229%, suggesting either a data anomaly or severe mispricing on Kalshi's platform.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme distress signals with an implied yield of 2235% and realized volatility of 2229%, suggesting either a data anomaly or severe mispricing on Kalshi's platform. The 7-day price collapse from 49¢ to 44¢ combined with minimal liquidity ($103.66 open interest) and low 24-hour volume ($102.66) indicates thin trading conditions where small orders could cause outsized moves. With the scheduled game date of April 25, 2026 already passed relative to the May 10 expiry, this market may be experiencing resolution delays or technical issues that warrant caution before trading.
Resolution rules
If PIT Penguins wins the Game 4: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR25PITPHI-PIT yes 100