Game 4: Colorado at Los Angeles Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Game 4: Colorado at Los Angeles Winner?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market displays extreme yield metrics (3,088% implied yield on Yes) driven by illiquidity rather than genuine mispricing, with only $1,287 open interest and a tight 3¢ spread masking thin depth.
Analysis
This market displays extreme yield metrics (3,088% implied yield on Yes) driven by illiquidity rather than genuine mispricing, with only $1,287 open interest and a tight 3¢ spread masking thin depth. The 7-day price collapse from 12¢ to 36¢ suggests either new information favoring LA or algorithmic repositioning, though the neutral regime score and 1.3 info arrivals per hour indicate no major news catalyst. With 21 days to expiry and realized volatility at 1,970%, this appears to be a low-conviction, low-liquidity contract where the headline yield should be heavily discounted for execution risk.
Resolution rules
If LA Kings wins the Game 4: Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLGAME-26APR26COLLA-LA yes 100